Can AI scaling continue through 2030?

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Can AI scaling continue through 2030?

Why it matters

Estimated 400 trillion to 20 quadrillion effective tokens by 2030, and laid out the order of constraints: power binds first, then chip production capacity

Source — Primary sources first; secondary reports are labelled “Press”

Officialepoch.aihttps://epoch.ai/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030

Added in Week 35, 2026 · See that week

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Nous Research publishes DisTrO preliminary reportOfficialAI models collapse when trained on recursively generated dataPaperFineWeb paper and FineWeb-Edu, 1.3 trillion tokensPaperNemotron-4 340BPaper